BidIndex Update Shows Little Change In 2012 Race

GamesBids.com today released an update to BidIndex for the 2012 Summer Olympic Games bid. This update includes observations from the International Olympic Committee (IOC) Evaluation Report as well as new information since the previous update of May 10.

Due to recent Olympic Stadium plan changes, the BidIndex for New York has been temporarily “halted” to give time for the bid to properly present its plan and receive feedback from the IOC. Once the situation becomes clearer New York’s bid will be re-scored.

Paris continues to boast the highest score of 66.18, up 0.30 after the City received a glowing evaluation report with few surprises.

Madrid marked the same increase, up 0.30 to 61.41 as it continues to exhibit a strong overall plan.

London was the top gainer with an increase of 1.48 to 64.88 after being buoyed by a favorable evaluation report.

Moscow dropped by 0.19 to 49.58 after the IOC evaluation report confirmed some deficiencies and lack of information in the bid’s presentation. Moscow’s low score indicates that the city won’t likely be a factor in this race.

In comparison, for the 2008 Olympic bid winner Beijing had a record-high BidIndex score of 75.44 while Toronto scored 63.79 and Paris rated 58.71.

The next BidIndex update will occur once further information on New York’s revised plan becomes available and before the July 6 vote in Singapore.

BidIndex, a model developed by statisticians and bid experts at GamesBids.com, has been successfully used since 2001. It is comprised of over 100 critical fundamentals and information obtained from experts and Olympic insiders. BidIndex was reviewed in the March 2004 edition of Significance Magazine, a publication by the Royal Statistical Society.

BidIndex is not intended to rate or rank the bids based on technical quality, but on how the bids will perform based on IOC statistical voting patterns. History has proven that the best technical bids often do not win but other factors such as geo-politics usually have a significant impact.

Full BidIndex details can be found on the BidIndex page or send GamesBids.com a message for more information or comments from BidIndex developers.

Current BidIndex Scores:
London – 64.88 +1.48
Madrid – 61.41 +0.30
Moscow – 49.58 -0.19
New York – temporarily “halted”
Paris – 66.18 +0.30

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